Center for Meteorological Modeling

State University of New York
Purchase, New York USA

 

Description

The Center for Meteorological Modeling conducts experimental and theoretical studies designed to improve numerical modeling of the atmosphere. These research efforts received funds from NASA's Atmospheric Effects of Aviation Project (in the Office of Aeronautics and Space Transportation Technology) and the Global Modeling and Analysis Program in NASA's Earth Science Enterprise (now the Earth Sciences program in the Science Directorate). Both projects gather existing meteorological data from aircraft flight data recorders and attempt to make more effective use of these data in meteorological models.

The primary current effort is the Global Aircraft Data Set experiment. (GADS; summary adapted from the original 1994 proposal). It is an international collaboration involving participation and/or funding from NASA, British Airways, Singapore Airlines, and some major weather services and research centers ( U.S., British, Japanese, and European ).

Meteorological information has been collected daily since August 1995 from the flight data recorders of all (currently 56) British Airways 747-400 aircraft and selected flights from the Singapore Airlines fleet and transmitted to SUNY Purchase. The data is validated and sent to the world's major climate and weather centers.

As of September 2007, the number of observations in data sparse regions is approximately ACARS (97 Million), AMDAR (47 Million), and GADS (57 Million). The ACARS and AMDAR totals do not include redundant information over the data dense continental U. S. and Europe. The GADS totals do not include another 350 Million 1 km observations which are passively archived. Further information is given in a September 2007 report.

Web and Published Documentation

Typical distributions (22 October 1999 and 01 September 2002) and likely future routes can be compared with ECMWF's tally of operational reports (set the type to "aircraft" and cycle through all four synoptic times 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC) to compare with the full day of GADS observations.

The broad context of the role of aircraft observations was described in a 2004 historical review published in the World Meteorological Organziation (WMO) Bulletin.

Early versions of the results are given in color images showing discrepancies between aircraft data and 1992 analyses. [J. Tenenbaum, "Jet stream wind analyses: comparisons with independent aircraft data over Southwest Asia." Wea. and Forecasting, 6, 320-326 (1991).]

More recent results are in the following papers,

  • J. Tenenbaum, "Jet Stream Winds: Comparisons of Aircraft Observations with Analyses." Wea. and Forecasting, 11, 188-197 (1996).
  • L. Rukhovets, J. Tenenbaum, and M. Geller, "The Impact of Additional Aircraft Data on the Goddard Earth Observing System Analyses." Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 2927-2941 (1998).
  • G. J. Rickard, R. W. Lunnon, and J. Tenenbaum, "The Met Office upper air winds: Prediction and verification in the context of commercial aviation data." Meteorol. Appl., 8, 351-360 (2001).
  • C. Cardinali, L. Rukhovets, and J. Tenenbaum, "Jet Stream Analysis and Forecast Errors Using GADS Aircraft Observations in the DAO, ECMWF, and NCEP Models." Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 764-779 (2004).
  • conference proceedings,

  • J. Tenenbaum and L. Rukhovets, "Determining Biases in Hadley Circulation Reanalyses Using Independent Aircraft Observations".   Extended abstract.  Proceedings of the Third WCRP International Conference on Reanalysis, January 28 - February 1, 2008, Tokyo, Japan.
  • and are used in

  • C. Cardinali, L. Isaksen, and E. Andersson. "Use and impact of automated aircraft data in a global 4DVAR data assimilation system". Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1865-1877 (2003).
  • A primary goal of the research is specifically to estimate and decrease the biases of the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office analyses. These analyses are used in support of the Terra (nee EOS-AM; MODIS and MOPITT instruments) and Aqua (nee EOS-PM; AIRS and MODIS instruments) earth observing satellites.

    Current Work and Future Plans

    The problems illustrated in the Rukhovets et al. (1998) paper are still present in current assimilation systems. A case study of a 1998 problem case is shown in a brief report. Additional problems are illustrated by the extreme situations present in conjuction with the 1999 Christmas storms. over northern France and southern England and a poorly analyzed jet stream case over Alberta, Canada.

    The primary value of the GADS observations is that they can provide substantial additional information relative to observations available in real-time on the meteorological Global Telecommunications System (GTS). These can be incorporated in the Goddard GMAO late-look (approximately 15 days after the observation time) analyses. The status of these analyses can be examined by following links from the GMAO home pages.

    Current work includes

  • updating the case studies to more recent assimilation systems, especially the fvDAS (GEOS-5) successor to GEOS-1 and GEOS-3 analysis systems
  • calculating ensemble analysis errors for 1996-2004
  • obtaining data from Pacific carriers to complement the information from British Airways
  • using tropical observations to try to clarify the strength of the Hadley circulation and moisture cycle in Reanalyses (sample results from ECMWF, 2005). Preliminary estimates and accessible geographical locations are shown in some initial tropical results (1999) and a talk (2005) at the University of Reading.
  • using observations in orographically active regions to check gravity wave parameterizations
  • archive dereferenced GADS data in national centers (the Goddard Data Access Archive Center and the Livermore Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison)
  • [Copies of referenced papers including all figures are available by e-mail request from cmm@jet.purchase.edu ]

    (maintained by Marge Oztunali )

    marge@jet.purchase.edu
    (last updated 29 August 2008)